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2026-08-18 03:07 UTC · physics.soc-ph · physics.soc-ph, econ.GN

Reputation and institutional certification as complementary trust mechanisms in a single online market

Yuta Kido, Yohsuke Ohtsubo

Reputation and institutional certification are the two main trust mechanisms under information asymmetry, yet their interaction remains poorly understood. We analyze nearly one million fixed-price eBay listings of Pokemon cards, where sellers choose among three signals: third-party grading (institutional certification), self-grading (a self-claimed condition description), or no signal. We show that self-grading and third-party grading dominate distinct regions of the reputation-value space, with the self-grading region widening as reputation rises. Reputation also amplifies the price premium of self-grading but not that of third-party grading. We develop a signaling game in which a false self-claim carries an ex-post cost proportional to reputation, whereas certification carries an ex-ante cost independent of reputation. These costs split the reputation-value space into equilibrium regimes that explain both patterns. The two mechanisms are therefore substitutes within a transaction yet complements across the market, replacing the reputation-versus-institution dichotomy with a regime structure set by reputation and value.
arXiv abstractPDF

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