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arXiv preprints from January 1, 2026 through September 9, 2026 — 09:39:58 EST

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Posted in physics.ins-det · 2026-08-19 · Laurence Datrier, Geoffrey Lovelace, Tooba Ansar, Lance Blagg, Warren Bristol, Matthew Evans, Chris Lukinbeal, Vuk Mandic, Kiet Pham, Jocelyn Read, Sarmad Rameez, Amber Romero, Oscar Romero, Babatunde Isaac Rotimi, Joshua B. Russell, Andrew Saenz, Francois Schiettekatte, Robert Schofield, David H. Shoemaker, Bretton Simpson, Bram J. J. Slagmolen, Joshua R. Smith

Identifying Cost-Favorable Locations for Cosmic Explorer

Cosmic Explorer (CE) is a proposed next-generation gravitational-wave observatory that aims to extend our gravitational-wave vision to the edge of the observable universe. With a foundation of technology proven by the National Science Foundation's Laser Interferometer Gravitational-Wave Observatory (LIGO), CE will observe black holes...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.19114v1PDF
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Posted in cond-mat.mtrl-sci · 2026-08-19 · Francesco Tavani, Saber Mirzaei, Jian Yin, Yen-hsu Lin, Caden Myers, Cheng-Hung Lin, Milinda Abeykoon, Simon Billinge, Omar M. Yaghi

Local Structure and Dynamics of Three-Dimensional Covalent Organic Frameworks

Resolving and controlling the local dynamical properties of covalent organic frameworks (COFs) remains a central challenge, particularly when assembled from large, flexible building units. Here, we combine synchrotron X-ray pair distribution function (PDF) analyses with machine learning-accelerated molecular dynamics (MD) simulations...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.19106v1PDF
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Posted in quant-ph · 2026-08-19 · Khoa Dang Tao, Sumin Jin, Muhammad Raza, Changhyoup Lee

Quantum circuit optimization using deep reinforcement learning: Applications across multiple gate sets

The practical implementation of quantum algorithms on noisy intermediate-scale quantum devices encounters operational limitations due to decoherence and other sources of noise inherent in real hardware. To mitigate these errors while preserving the original functionality of the algorithm, shorter quantum circuits are therefore...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.19103v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ML · 2026-08-19 · Dalia Chakrabarty, Kangrui Wang, Chuqiao Zhang, Ye Liu

Learning Random Geometric Graphs Drawn in Probabilistic Metric Spaces

We present a new data-driven learning of a Random Geometric Graph (RGG) of a multivariate dataset, where the graph is drawn in a probabilistic metric space. This graph learning works for generic datasets, irrespective of the type of the observables; their probability distributions; or size of the data. We identify a metric of the...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.19082v1PDF
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Posted in cs.AI · 2026-08-19 · Deep Kumar Ganguly, Jan Křetínský

Robust Risk Under Evolving Uncertainty: A Wasserstein Counterpart of the Entropic Value-at-Risk

An agent still learning its environment should be cautious while ignorant and bold once confident. The entropic value-at-risk captures this through a robust-optimization identity---a confidence level fixes the radius of a relative-entropy ball of alternative models---but that ball cannot reach catastrophes the nominal deems...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.19073v1PDF
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Posted in math.ST · 2026-08-19 · Tailen Hsing, Su-Yun Huang, Toshinari Morimoto

Function-On-Function Regression Through Separable Neural Operators

This paper investigates the estimation of the regression operator in function-on-function regression models. While traditional research has predominantly focused on linear models or their immediate nonlinear extensions, we propose a neural operator approach to accommodate general regression operators under mild smoothness assumptions....

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.19070v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ML · 2026-08-19 · Yuga Iguchi, Paul Fearnhead

Diffusion Models for High-Dimensional Clustered Data: Intrinsic-Dimension Adaptivity via Bayesian Classification

The empirical success of diffusion models in generative modelling has motivated theoretical work, including quantitative error bounds and qualitative analyses that characterise the different phases of denoising. We bring these two areas together by studying the adaptivity of diffusion models to the structured geometry of multimodal...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.19067v1PDF
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Posted in stat.AP · 2026-08-19 · Sulagna Ghosh, Aaron Schein

Scalable Amortized Variational Inference for Non-Poisson Buy-'Til-You-Die Models

Despite the wide variety of existing Buy-`Til-You-Die (BTYD) models, nearly all rely upon the convenient assumption of transactions following a Poisson process. As modern customer bases grow larger and more diverse, a major gap in the marketing literature is BTYD models that can account for heterogeneity in timing patterns across...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.19022v1PDF
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Posted in econ.EM · 2026-08-19 · Simon Heß, Patrick W. Schmidt

Don't Drop the Singletons: Efficient Inference for Pairwise Experiments with Independent Attrition

Pairwise randomization can yield substantial efficiency gains in experiments. Yet methodological guidance cautions against pairwise randomization, especially in settings with attrition, partly because common practices for estimation (i.e., pair fixed effects) imply discarding data from incomplete pairs thus exacerbating data loss from...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.18973v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ME · 2026-08-19 · David Snider, Zhongyuan Lyu, Jian Kang, Yuqi Gu

Mixed Membership Model of Low-rank Matrices with Multimodal Extension

Matrix-valued observations arise in multiplex networks, neuroimaging, and other domains where population-level patterns are often low-rank and subjects may express several latent patterns simultaneously. Existing tensor PCA methods provide continuous subject scores but their loading matrices can be difficult to interpret as population...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.18953v1PDF
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Posted in math.ST · 2026-08-19 · Abhik Ghosh, Claudio Agostinelli, Ayanendranath Basu

A Composite Divergence Approach to Robust Multivariate Estimation under Cellwise and Casewise Contamination

Composite likelihood (CL) methods provide a computationally efficient alternative to full likelihood inference for complex multivariate models by replacing the joint likelihood with a product of lower-dimensional marginal or conditional components. Like the MLE, however, the maximum CL estimator (MCLE) is highly sensitive to data...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.18914v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ME · 2026-08-19 · Lena Schemet, Andreas Groll, Sarah Friedrich-Welz

Model-based bootstrap inference for Cox models after Lasso selection

Inference after variable selection in Cox regression is difficult because simple Wald-type intervals after selection can have poor finite-sample conditional coverage. We study a model-based bootstrap for inference after Cox-Lasso variable selection. The Cox-Lasso is fitted once to the original data to select a set of variables, after...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.18893v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ML · 2026-08-19 · Matthias Mandl, Hanne Kekkonen

Sharper Regret Bounds for Time-Varying Gaussian Process Bandits with Constant Exploration

We study Bayesian optimization in a time-varying environment where the unknown reward function evolves according to a Gaussian process drift model. Existing GP-UCB analyses in this setting typically require the exploration parameter to grow with the horizon to maintain uniform confidence bounds. Using per-round local confidence...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.18863v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ME · 2026-08-19 · Felix Boakye Oppong, Dimitris Rizopoulos, Thierry Gorlia, Nicole Erler

Functional forms in joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event data: A practical guide with application and interpretation

Background: Joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event data are widely used in clinical research. However, the choice of functional form linking the biomarker trajectory to event risk is often treated as a technical detail, despite its importance for model assumptions and interpretation. Default specifications may fail to capture...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.18858v1PDF
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Posted in cs.LG · 2026-08-19 · Qi Qin, Jiajie Zhu, Dali Chen, Yuzhao Zhang, Jia-Xing Han, Yu Su, Peng Zhang, Ying Yan, Yifan Sun

GEAR: Generative Expansion and Real Anchoring for Two-Stage Distillation of Tabular Foundation Models

Tabular foundation models (TFMs) achieve strong performance through in-context learning, but context-dependent inference imposes substantial latency and memory costs, hindering large-scale deployment. We propose GEAR (\emph{Generative Expansion and Real Anchoring}), a modular two-stage framework that distills TFMs into lightweight MLP...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.18849v1PDF
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Posted in cs.LG · 2026-08-19 · Lorenz Kummer, Samir Moustafa, Anatol Ehrlich, Franka Bause, Marco Nennstiel, Przemysław Andrzej Wałȩga, Nils Morten Kriege

A Unifying Relational Perspective on Expressive Lottery Tickets

Graph neural networks (GNNs) are widely used, but how parameter sparsity affects the expressivity of relational (RGNNs) and temporal (TGNNs) variants is poorly understood. The Strong Expressive Lottery Ticket Hypothesis (SELTH) posits the existence of sparse GNNs that preserve Weisfeiler-Leman (WL) expressivity on static graphs. We...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.18819v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ME · 2026-08-19 · Shivshankar Nila, Ishapathik Das, N. Balakrishna

Robust Modeling of Extremes in the Presence of Inliers with Enhanced Tail Estimation

Extreme value theory provides a fundamental framework for modeling rare and extreme events; however, threshold selection remains a persistent challenge, particularly in the presence of inliers such as instantaneous or early failures. Such observations commonly arise in applications including reliability studies and environmental data,...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.18735v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ME · 2026-08-19 · Per August Jarval Moen, Sebastian Grau Nielsen, Espen Bjørge Urheim, Martin Tveten, Ingrid Kristine Glad

gridcp: Fast Online Changepoint Detection in Python

Online changepoint detection is the problem of detecting distributional changes in a data stream in real-time. A large body of methodology exists for the offline (fixed-size) setting, but applying these methods online quickly becomes infeasible since the per-observation computational cost and memory consumption typically grow at least...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.18695v1PDF
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Posted in cs.LG · 2026-08-19 · Dipesh Tharu Mahato, Pramod Dhungana

ProxyGuard: Direct Reliability Inference for Randomized Data Release Mechanisms with Shared Targets

Researchers often choose a proxy dataset from many releases, transformations, or seeds. Search can make an invalid release appear adequate, while one adequate release does not establish that its generator is reliable. ProxyGuard controls both errors using prespecified bounded risks and a sealed target set. Named-release mode corrects...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.18643v1PDF
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Posted in stat.CO · 2026-08-19 · Hongru Zhao, Huiqian Feng

Convex Reparameterization and Self-Concordant Algorithms for Multivariate Regression with Covariance Estimation

Building on a reparameterization for multivariate linear regression that yields a jointly convex penalized likelihood in the reparameterized regression coefficient matrix and the precision matrix, we show that the resulting scaled Gaussian loss is standard self-concordant. This places the joint estimation problem within composite...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.18441v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ME · 2026-08-19 · Kentaro Takeda, Masahiro Kojima

A seamless dose-optimization design for monotherapy and combination therapy

The emergence of molecular-targeted agents and immune-oncology therapies has fundamentally transformed oncology drug development, necessitating evolution beyond traditional dose-finding approaches designed for cytotoxic agents. While conventional agents exhibit predictable monotonic dose-response relationships, novel anticancer agents...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.18435v1PDF
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Posted in cs.CE · 2026-08-19 · Berkcan Kapusuzoglu, Sankaran Mahadevan, Shunsaku Matsumoto, Yoshitomo Miyagi, Daigo Watanabe

Multi-Level Bayesian Calibration of a Multi-Component Dynamic System Model

This paper proposes a multi-level Bayesian calibration approach that fuses information from heterogeneous sources and accounts for uncertainties in modeling and measurements for time-dependent multi-component systems. The developed methodology has two elements: quantifying the uncertainty at component and system levels, by fusing all...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.18430v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ME · 2026-08-19 · Keming Hu, Yingpei He

Centroid-Referenced Mahalanobis Matching (CRM): A Scalable, Representation-Based Framework for Causal Inference in Large Observational Studies

Matching for causal inference can be computationally expensive at scale and can silently change the target population when overlap is limited. We propose Centroid-Referenced Mahalanobis Matching (CRM), which replaces global pairwise search with stratified sampling in two reference coordinates: each unit's Mahalanobis distance from the...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.18417v1PDF
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Posted in q-bio.TO · 2026-08-18 · Alexander P Browning, Rebecca M Crossley, Ryan J Murphy, Helen Byrne, Sara Hamis

Adaptive therapy under parametric, structural, and measurement uncertainty

Adaptive therapy has emerged as a promising treatment strategy that exploits within-tumour competition to delay disease progression. Implementation, however, typically relies on indirect measurements of tumour burden and must account for potentially substantial patient heterogeneity. In this work, we capture patient-to-patient...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.18387v1PDF