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arXiv preprints from January 1, 2026 through September 10, 2026 — 05:52:53 EST

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Posted in cs.LG · 2026-08-14 · Pin-Yen Huang, Sachin Chhabra, Prasanth Sai Gouripeddi, Abhinav Kumar, Baoxin Li

RecipeNet: A Hierarchical Transformer for Recipe Data

Recipe data arises in domains such as materials synthesis, pharmaceutical formulation, and industrial manufacturing, where procedures are represented as ordered sequences of steps containing heterogeneous structured fields. Existing tabular learning methods typically flatten this structure into fixed-schema representations, limiting...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.14505v1PDF
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Posted in cs.SI · 2026-08-14 · Emily J Evans, Weihong Guo, Carlotta Domenicon

RegRole: Regularized Role Detection and Prediction in Temporal Dynamic Networks

This paper introduces a dynamic role discovery technique in temporal dynamic networks, utilizing temporally regularized Non-negative Matrix Factorization (NMF). Our technique differs from existing dynamic role analysis techniques by creating a consistent set of roles across all time periods, as well as a universal transition matrix...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.14504v1PDF
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Posted in cond-mat.mtrl-sci · 2026-08-14 · Juno Nam, Bowen Deng, Xiaochen Du, Luis Barroso-Luque, Benjamin Kurt Miller, Rafael Gómez-Bombarelli

Universal Thermodynamic Interatomic Potentials for Crystalline Materials

Free energies govern solid-state phase stability, yet computational materials discovery still relies largely on ground-state energies because free energy calculations require ensemble averages. We introduce the thermodynamic interatomic potential (TIP), which extends an interatomic potential from its static energy to a...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.14502v1PDF
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Posted in cs.CR · 2026-08-14 · Bar Alon, Itai Dinur, Muthuramakrishnan Venkitasubramaniam

Lower Bounds on Black-Box Constructions of Pseudorandom Functions

In their seminal work, Goldreich, Goldwasser, and Micali [CRYPTO 1984] constructed a pseudorandom function (PRF) using a black-box access to a pseudorandom generator (PRG). When combined with Levin's domain extension technique, the GGM construction invokes the PRG $ω(\log n)$ times, where $n$ denotes the input length to the PRG. To...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.14501v1PDF
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Posted in cs.GT · 2026-08-14 · Zohar Barak, Inbal Talgam-Cohen

Ex-ante versus Ex-post: Egalitarian Facility Location Mechanism Design

We study the facility location mechanism design problem where $n$ strategic agents report locations in Euclidean space and the mechanism outputs a single facility location. Each agent's cost is its distance from the facility, and our objective is to minimize the egalitarian cost, i.e., the maximum agent cost, in a strategyproof way. ...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.14499v1PDF
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Posted in cs.LG · 2026-08-14 · Hanfeng Lu, Tianyu Feng, Suyi Li, Yuheng Zhao, Wei Gao, Shaopan Xiong, Ju Huang, Siran Yang, Jiamang Wang, Lin Qu, Wei Wang

Rollplex: Cross-Phase GPU Spatial Sharing for Vision Language Model Post-Training

Vision-language models (VLMs) enable embodied agents to reason and act from visual observations and language instructions. Reinforcement learning (RL) post-training enhances these capabilities using task feedback, but current on-policy RL runtimes execute rollout, reference scoring, and actor training in strict serial phases. While...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.14498v1PDF
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Posted in cs.LG · 2026-08-14 · Hao Yan, Lisa Pilgram, Dan Liu, Linglong Kong, Fida Dankar, Khaled El Emam

Generating Benchmark Health Data Using a Tabular Diffusion Transformer

Cross-Tabular Data Generation (CTDG) seeks to learn a generative model from multiple heterogeneous tables and produce new synthetic tabular datasets. However, existing synthetic tabular data generation methods are largely restricted to single-input-table scenarios and struggle to effectively handle multiple heterogeneous tables with...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.14496v1PDF
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Posted in cs.IT · 2026-08-14 · Galen Reeves, Ramji Venkataramanan

Lossy Compression via Sparse Regression Codes: Generalized Construction and Finite-length Bounds

We study sparse regression codes (SPARCs) for lossy compression under simple greedy encoding rules, including both correlation-based and distance-based methods. We generalize the SPARC construction, and consider the class of \emph{additive orthogonal} regression codes, of which standard SPARCs are a special case. For this class of...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.14494v1PDF
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Posted in cs.LG · 2026-08-14 · Yixian Xu, Yuanrui Zhang, Shengjie Luo, Liwei Wang, Di He

Designing Reinforcement Learning for Diffusion Models: A Unified Path-Space View

Reinforcement learning (RL) post-training provides a direct way to align diffusion models with human preferences and task-specific rewards. However, current RL algorithms for diffusion models remain fragmented: reverse-trajectory methods rely on discretized likelihood ratios, whereas forward-matching methods train on reward-labeled...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.14430v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ML · 2026-08-14 · Yang Peng, Liangyu Zhang

Online Inference in Distributional Temporal-Difference Learning

We study online statistical inference for functionals of the return distribution under a fixed policy. The return distribution is estimated by nonparametric distributional temporal-difference learning from a single Markov trajectory. For the Polyak--Ruppert averaged estimator, we prove that its root-$T$ error converges weakly to a...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.14408v1PDF
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Posted in stat.AP · 2026-08-14 · Karina Lilleborge, Sara Martino, Geir-Arne Fuglstad

Flexible covariance structures on metric graphs

Whittle-Matérn (WM) Gaussian random fields (GRFs) are defined as solutions of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) and provide a natural analog of Matérn GRFs on non-Euclidean geometry where the Matérn covariance function is not valid. In particular, WM GRFs on metric graphs have been an active area of research motivated...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.14404v1PDF
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Posted in stat.OT · 2026-08-14 · Guoqian Li, Kenneth Q. Zhou, Xiaobai Zhu

A Tale of Two Pathways to Gompertz Mortality: Reliability and Vitality from an Actuarial Perspective

This paper studies two mechanistic explanations for human mortality by examining reliability theory and vitality modelling through a unified actuarial perspective. While the two approaches arise from different ageing mechanisms, we show that both can naturally generate the Gompertz law under suitable assumptions and can be extended to...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.14402v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ML · 2026-08-14 · Xiaohong Chen, Yuling Jiao, Lican Kang, Jerry Zhijian Yang, Chen Zhong

Offline Deep Q* Estimation with Diffusion Models

In offline RL, estimating the optimal action-value function $Q^*$ can be formulated as solving the optimal Bellman equation based solely on offline observations. A fundamental challenge is that the reward function and transition kernel are unknown, so the optimal Bellman operator is not directly observable from data. To address this...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.14401v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ME · 2026-08-14 · Patrick Bastian, Daria Tieplova, Nina Dörnemann, Tim Kutta

Change Point Detection and Localization in High-Dimensional Time Series

We present new inference tools for change point detection in high-dimensional time series. We discuss two distinct statistical applications: First, sequential change point testing in an incoming data-stream. Second, retrospective localization of multiple changes, with confidence intervals at a globally controlled error level. Test...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.14344v1PDF
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Posted in stat.AP · 2026-08-14 · Emma Kopp, Sahoko Ishida, Rebecca Leygonie, Francesca Panero

Filling survey gaps in food security monitoring with spatio-temporal additive Gaussian process models

Ensuring food security across all regions of a country requires continuous monitoring, yet household surveys often leave significant spatio-temporal gaps due to resource constraints and operational priorities. In this paper, we propose a spatio-temporal additive Gaussian process model to estimate sub-national food security time series...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.14314v1PDF
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Posted in stat.AP · 2026-08-14 · Jian Hou, Tan Meng, Maozai Tian

Scale-dependent contraction of spatial wet-bulb temperature contrasts in eastern China

Regional wet-bulb temperature means omit the spatial distribution of humid heat. We compare upper-quartile and middle-half days of the monthly regional mean at 121 sites in a specified eastern-China domain. A prespecified multiscale architecture combines Gaussian-weighted semivariances at five bandwidths with equal-month, equal-scale...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.14294v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ML · 2026-08-14 · Anandaroop Ray

Extending Occam's inversion with lasso fusion, overcomplete dictionaries, and isotropic total variation regularisation

Occam's inversion is a robust algorithm to perform nonlinear geophysical inversion. It provides the smoothest model within observation noise, thereby discouraging geological overinterpretation. While Occam originally penalised l2 model roughness, l1 can be used to provide models that are visually sharp. However, l1 regularised...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.14225v1PDF
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Posted in cs.LG · 2026-08-14 · Junichiro Niimi

Revisiting Energy-based Tabular Anomaly Detection: Energy and Reconstruction are Complementary

Tabular anomaly detection is dominated by classical density-proxy methods (Isolation Forest, OCSVM, LOF), reconstruction-based detectors (Autoencoders, VAEs), and modern non-parametric scorers (COPOD, ECOD, Deep SVDD), all of which approximate the inlier distribution only indirectly; explicit energy-based models are largely absent....

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.14186v1PDF
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Posted in stat.AP · 2026-08-14 · Neha Gupta, Nishit Soni, Aditya Maheshwari

Spillover-Informed Network Architecture for Global Volatility Forecasting

Spillover of volatility shocks across borders during turbulent periods makes accurate equity market volatility forecasts especially critical for risk management, derivatives pricing, and regulatory capital. In this paper, we examine whether volatility forecasts improve when models incorporate information on how markets are connected,...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.14171v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ME · 2026-08-14 · Nurzhan Sapargali, Sergio Buttazzo, G\''oran Kauermann

Exact Likelihood Inference for Snowball-Sampled Erdős-Rényi Networks

Network data obtained through link-tracing designs, such as snowball sampling, are collected through a mechanism that depends on the very structure the analysis seeks to estimate. Ignoring this dependence and treating the observed sample as though it were itself a complete network can lead to substantially biased inference. While the...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.14129v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ME · 2026-08-14 · Shanpeng Li, Emily Ouyang, Ace Isabel Mejia-Sanchez, Xinping Cui, Gang Li

FastJM: An R Package for Efficient Implementation of Semiparametric Joint Models for Longitudinal and Survival Data

Joint models provide a flexible framework for characterizing the association between longitudinal and time-to-event processes and have been widely applied in biomedical research. However, fitting joint models can be computationally challenging for large-scale and complex biomedical data. This paper introduces the \proglang{R} package...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.14127v1PDF
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Posted in cs.LG · 2026-08-14 · Shu Wan, Miles Ma, Hank Zhu, Guangqi Liu, Stephen Wang, Qingsong Wen, Huan Liu

Forecast Collapse in Time-Series Foundation Models

When forecasting hourly returns for 1,000 US equities, we observe an unexpected phenomenon: predictions become nearly flat and show poor stock ranking, as measured by cross-sectional correlation. We call this forecast collapse. Surprisingly, the phenomenon largely disappears when forecasting trading volume under the same setting. We...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.14106v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ME · 2026-08-14 · Johan Lyrvall, Felix Clouth

An integration of decision trees into latent class modeling with covariates

We propose a novel methodology for fitting decision trees to latent classes. The latent class analysis methodological literature has previously been focusing on logistic models of class membership given covariates, which has important drawbacks in the presence of complex interactions between covariates: logistic models are easily...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.14091v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ME · 2026-08-14 · Margus Niitsoo, Reimo Rebane, Tarmo Jüristo

A Unified Bayesian Model for Voter Turnout Estimation: Combining Surveys, Aggregate Data, and Selection Correction

Accurate small-area estimation of voter turnout for demographic subgroups is crucial for political analysis but methodologically challenging. Survey data suffer from over-reporting, non-representativeness, and non-ignorable non-response, while ecological inference (EI) from aggregate data is vulnerable to the ecological fallacy. We...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.14062v1PDF
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Posted in stat.ME · 2026-08-14 · Yifan Zhang, Tianfa Xie, Xinyu Zhang

Handling covariate shift by model averaging

Distributional mismatch between the data used to construct a statistical procedure and the population to which it is ultimately applied is pervasive in modern data analysis. We study covariate shift, a fundamental instance of this problem, and develop an adaptive importance-weighted model averaging method for prediction when labeled...

💬 0 commentsarXiv:2608.14025v1PDF