arXiv preprints from January 1, 2026 through September 7, 2026 — 14:13:59 EST
Perfusion of soft materials such as biological tissue or hydrogels is essential for the functioning of organ and laboratory systems such as chromatographic columns and bioreactors. Inspired by these applications, we model fluid-driven compaction in a long, thin cylindrical porous medium bounded by an impermeable elastic membrane and...
In-ice radio detectors have been developed primarily for the detection of high-energy neutrinos via the Askaryan effect, but have recently been shown to also be sensitive to cosmic ray air showers impacting the ice sheet. Using CORSIKA 8 to simulate impacting air showers, we find that the lateral width of the in-ice cascade is...
We study kernel ridge regression under anisotropic Gaussian data, where the input covariance decays as a power law with exponent $α\geq 0$ for polynomial inner-product kernels. We derive asymptotically sharp expressions for the kernel spectrum and the generalization error in the polynomial high-dimensional regime $n=Θ(d^κ)$, revealing...
Relational Event Models (REMs) provide valuable insights into the dynamics of longitudinal social networks. Yet, the vast availability of potential predictors for a dyad's event rate poses the risk of selecting irrelevant variables and specifying an overfitted model that does not generalize to new data. Despite the recent popularity...
Global goodness-of-fit and discrepancy statistics can establish that a sample departs from a reference distribution without identifying which observations drive the departure. We develop a framework for this localization problem by assigning to each observation its conditional or marginal contribution across random statistical...
In applications, it is often required to test objects or people to determine their qualities in terms of certain metrics. However, besides being naturally noisy, the test results can be corrupted by adversarial behaviors of objects or people being tested (test takers). For example, dishonest test takers can cheat in the exams to...
This paper investigates whether five fold cross fitting improves nonresponse adjustment in survey estimation when flexible machine learning methods are used to estimate response propensities. We conduct a finite population Monte Carlo simulation with 90 experimental configurations and 2,000 replications per configuration, varying...
We extend the FLOP (fast learning of order and parents) algorithm recently proposed by Wienöbst et al. (2026) from observational to interventional data. In particular, we use the interventional BIC score of Hauser and Bühlmann (2012), adapting it to be used with the iterative Cholesky-based score updates that are partly responsible...
We study the non-uniqueness of exact two-sided $p$-values in continuous one-parameter natural exponential families (NEFs). For directed one-sided problems, the tail $p$-value agrees with the $p$-values using UMP, UMPU, and likelihood-ratio (LR) tests. For a two-sided simple null, we distinguish four constructions: equal-tail,...
Privacy-preserving learning is often motivated by the idea that protecting users' data can preserve trust and thus participation, improving utility in the long term. However, this claim has not been formalized so far. In parallel, performative learning provides a framework for studying learning systems whose deployment affects the...
We study risk-averse decision making, in which an agent selects actions while being uncertain about the true system state. The risk is measured via optimized certainty equivalent (OCE) metrics, which generalize popular criteria such as mean-variance risk and conditional value-at-risk (CVaR). We characterize the optimal policy under...
Forecast combination is a reliable way to improve predictive performance when several forecasting models are available. Simple aggregation rules such as the mean, median, trimmed mean, inverse-loss weighting, and exponential weighting are often strong baselines, but their relative performance can vary across datasets, forecast...
Modern time series are often long, serially dependent, and non-stationary. Existing change-point methods either target specific changes or become computationally intensive when using nonparametric costs on long series. Many also require thresholds to be carefully calibrated under serial dependence. We introduce SCAN, an offline method...
In this work, we explore particle learning strategies for the joint estimation of static parameters and latent states within conditional sequential Monte Carlo (CSMC) algorithms. Building on this idea, we propose the p(parameter)-CSMC algorithm, which incorporates both parameter learning and ancestor sampling, leading to much better...
The problem of sampling from a probability distribution arises in many applications such as posterior sampling in hierarchical Bayesian inverse problems and Gaussian processes for machine learning. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are often used for sampling from a target probability distribution, but implementations can be...
Bayesian variable selection becomes computationally challenging when models contain many dependent parameters. We study Piecewise Deterministic Markov Process (PDMP) samplers as a continuous-time alternative to conventional Markov chain Monte Carlo for spike-and-slab variable selection. In sticky PDMP samplers, active parameters...
Recurrent fast-weight memories and selective state-space models compress an expanding context into a fixed-size recurrent state, making the state transition an online learning rule. We study this rule under read-after-write autoregressive semantics. For the prefix-prediction objective considered here, the local fast-memory example...
In the framework of network dynamics, learning models, and neural tangent kernels (NTK), we show that the corresponding linearized dynamics leads naturally to a semigroup formulation. More precisely, in our analysis of input/output models, the time-dynamics is presented via special semigroups of linear operators on Hilbert spaces,...
Diffusion models generate skillful weather ensembles but require costly iterative sampling. We introduce a supervised energy-distance distillation method that compresses a multi-step diffusion teacher into a single-step student by aligning student forecasts with teacher samples and ground-truth observations. Experiments on global...
The Maximum Entropy on the Mean (MEM) method provides a flexible computational framework for solving inverse problems by combining data fidelity with entropy-based regularization. In practice, however, the prior distribution is typically unknown but can be estimated from data, giving rise to the empirical MEM method. We establish a...
Nearest neighbor classification relies fundamentally on how locality is defined, yet conventional $k$-NN imposes the same neighborhood cardinality throughout the feature space. This assumption can be inadequate for data whose local geometry varies substantially across the underlying manifold. We introduce Curvature-Aware Radius...
We propose a multivariate extension of the pseudo-Voigt profile-a weighted convex combination of Gaussian and Cauchy distributions-within a finite mixture modeling framework for robust model-based clustering and outlier detection. To ensure parsimony and coherence within clusters, shared location and scale parameters are imposed...
Aggregated relational data (ARD) record how many ties sampled respondents have to predeclared groups without revealing individual dyads. We ask whether such counts can falsify a pure additive-activity network model for one predeclared form of residual cross-group association. When the groups form an exhaustive partition, respondent...
Density three-point correlations are known to probe the topology of the Fermi sea in two-dimensional noninteracting systems. Here, we study how these correlations are modified by interactions using the coadjoint-orbit effective field theory. A key advantage of the coadjoint-orbit formulation is that it provides a systematic way to...
Atomic gas in a point-mass potential possesses an exact similarity that survives time dependence, two-body atomic microphysics, and a specified class of radiation and feedback laws. At fixed ambient temperature and composition, $M_\bullet\mapstoλM_\bullet$ and $n_\infty\mapstoλ^{-1}n_\infty$ enlarge radii and times by $λ$ while...